Conflict in the Middle East, pt. 4

1. robertjayb - 9/24/2003 12:37:04 AM

Riverbend learns of Kellog, Brown & Root...

For Sale: A fertile, wealthy country with a population of around 25 million… plus around 150,000 foreign troops, and a handful of puppets. Conditions of sale: should be either an American or British corporation (forget it if you’re French)… preferably affiliated with Halliburton. Please contact one of the members of the Governing Council in Baghdad, Iraq for more information.

2. ScreamingSin - 9/24/2003 1:53:55 AM

And this is different from the USA or Italy or Germany how?

3. jayackroyd - 9/24/2003 4:19:51 AM

Saddam's government is known to have worked in collusion with Al Qaeda and other Islamic fundamentalist terrorist groups.


Nobody else thinks so. As I said in March.

This is a lie. It's a purposeful action of deceit to provide political support for the administration. They know it's false. They keep saying it, even after admitting it is false.

It may work. Having the president lie, over and over again, about a threat to the American people may work. People may well say "The president wouldn't say something like this if it weren't true. He has access to information we don't, and those who say he is lying don't have access to that information either. So it's all political those people who say it's not true.

"And there is no way the president would lie to us about something like this. That would be unconscionable. So it can't be so."

It may work. It worked for Stalin. It works for Kim Jong-Il. It may well work for Bush.

I fear for the republic.

4. jayackroyd - 9/24/2003 4:38:29 AM

The regime of Saddam Hussein cultivated ties to terror while it built weapons of mass destruction. It used those weapons in acts of mass murder and refused to account for them when confronted by the world.

But to be precise (I know that it doesn't matter what I say connie--you'll stay on message, but I can't let this claim stand), neither of these two statements are true. We now, for sure, know them to be false. He had no ties to "terror" at the time of the Security Council's resolution. And he did account for weapons of mass destruction when confronted by the world.

He said they didn't have any.

And they didn't.

The inspectors, at the time, said that there was no evidence that they did have such weapons, and asked for more time to find them.

The US refused to permit more time. US reps said there was no doubt WSD were there, and invaded.

This pretext has been exposed as completely false. For Bush to reiterate this pretext has to call his understanding of reality into question. Saying something over and over again doesn't make it true.

5. alistairConnor - 9/24/2003 4:40:27 AM

Sad to say, I wasn't surprised that Bush made such a complete balls of his big UN moment.

The other day, when asked if he was prepared to accord a greater role to the UN in Iraq, he says what? he says "I'm not sure we need to." Yeah -- Chirac had already announced that France will not veto a SC resolution, so he thinks he's got a get-out-of-jail-free card. No apology, no concessions, tough it out, they'll all be cowed and fall into line... Just like the Iraqis will... Operation Wishful Thinking is still under way.

Lots of people were expecting reconciliation and compromise at the UN. All Bush had to do was to put the madman in the back seat, and put the State Department in control. He's the president, he can decide that. I wasn't expecting this.

He may eventually get his resolution, with no concessions... But he won't get the money, he won't get the troops, he won't get the know-how he needs, to avoid sinking further into the quagmire in Iraq.

Even if, by some miracle, he got the money and the troops, they would be no use to him without concessions on sovereignty and UN control. Because Iraqis will not buy into a system which offers only indefinite US control and occupation.

Nobody wants to see Iraq sink further into anarchy and despair. Except Saddam and Usama.

6. jayackroyd - 9/24/2003 4:40:28 AM

Oh, and he did all this in the context of the US (with help from the rest of the OECD, but cotton concessions would have gone a long way) blowing up the Doha GATT round.

7. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 9:29:19 AM

I wouldn't blame the US (and EU) alone for imploding the GATT talks in Cancun. India, Brazil and China have to share the blame equally.

But even though it looks like the three leaders of the so-called "group of 22" seem to have shot themselves in the foot - cutting off immediate access to greater markets - the implosion may work out to everyone's favour if a more perceptibly evenhanded approach to globalization emerges when the parties all get back to the table.

8. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 9:30:01 AM

But Fareed Zakaria points the finger at the US, lucidly, for its overall approach.

"But the most vital leadership vacuum is in the United States. It is the only country that has the power to help repair, revive or reinvent arrangements to help manage global peace and prosperity. This is the time for intense and creative efforts along these lines. But at this crucial moment in world history, the influential hard-liners in the Bush administration stand in theological opposition to the very idea of international cooperation.

Even when the administration comes to multilateralism, as it did last week, it does so grudgingly and halfheartedly; President Bush's excellent television address, asking for help one Sunday, is quickly countered the next Sunday by Vice President Cheney's combative (and dishonest) performance. The administration is consumed with score-settling and almost delights in the petty vanities and missteps of the French because it discredits multilateralism.

But the imperial style of foreign policy is backfiring. At the end of the Iraq war the administration spurned any kind of genuine partnership with the world. It pounded away at the United Nations, explaining that legitimacy would come only by giving Iraq back to the Iraqis. The Europeans, cut out from any participation, have now decided to hang Washington by its own rhetoric, coming out in favor of an even faster transfer back to the Iraqis. Key Iraqis have jumped on this proposal and are making common cause with the Europeans. (Ahmad Chalabi has apparently shocked his neoconservative patrons with his ingratitude.)        

So unilateralism has produced a multilateral free-for-all, a chaotic jockeying for power over which the United States is losing control. This is bad for Iraq, bad for the United States and bad for the prospects for international cooperation. One can only hope it will be a lesson in how not to manage the next foreign-policy crisis. "

9. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 9:39:16 AM

The move by the sinister-looking Chalabi to start courting the Europeans and UN and to distance himself from the US is really the beginning of the end for the whole neocon vision for the Iraq campaign.

As we've seen all along, the neocons could have solidified their plans by displaying competence in the post-War period, by following through on their promises for Iraq immediately (that $87 billion should have been in place and spent speedily), by putting substance behind the rhetoric.

But it was all lies, manipulation, incompetence and refusal to admit error. And thus they have not only lost golden chances to multilateralize the efforts, they have lost first the American people's support and now they've even lost the acquiescence of their own cherry-picked Iraqi governing council. An astounding object lesson in how to botch up an already difficult situation.

So now, unfortunately, we taxpayers will pay the price. Maybe half-a-trillion dollars over the next few years, plus a couple of thousand dead Americans, plus near-total isolation on the world stage and absolute distrust the next time the US wants to take the lead on any serious matter dealing with war and peace overseas.

I'm in favour of taking the neocons, slimeballs all, and dumping each one individually in Faluja or some similiar Iraqi location, and letting the locals have a go at them with sticks.

10. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 9:39:45 AM

Hell, let the 101st Airborne at them first.

11. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 9:41:57 AM

Say, whatever happened to the baboon circle-jerk anyways?

Once they flung their own excrement around on this site. Now they've been forced to eat it, in whatever benighted location they've holed up.

12. alistairConnor - 9/24/2003 9:51:34 AM

bring 'em on...

13. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 9:55:32 AM

Now, I very highly recommend two balanced, deeply informed, pieces from the latest edition of the NYRB.

One, Jonathan Mirsky's review of two books on the conflict in Vietnam, shocks the reader with the salient lessons about American unilateralism that can be learned from careful reading of that past episode. Stick with the article as it details some of what went on those decades ago, and your jaw will drop at the relevance to the current misadventure in Iraq - the lies, the false promises, the barely-understood local landscape - it's all there.

"On May 4, 1972, Nixon said:

Whatever happens to South Vietnam we are going to cream North Vietnam.... For once, we've got to use the maximum power of this country...against this shit-ass little country: to win the war

Such was policymaking by presidents from Truman to Nixon, aided by men who, like Ellsberg himself, kept their knowledge and doubt to themselves in exchange for power and access. Ellsberg was the most outspoken and daring of the Ameri-can insiders who saw that a disaster was taking place and changed their minds.

In the face of current American rhetoric about the need for American forces to "prevail," David Elliott's characterizations of the Vietnamese revolutionaries are instructive and cautionary: "Whatever one's view of the outcome," he writes, "in the end it was fundamentally decided by the Vietnamese themselves..."


14. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 10:05:57 AM

Two, the slightly sneering (and highly distinguished) Brian Urquhart's review of a slew of books on American unilateralism - World Order and Mr. Bush



Urquhart, the Brit who godfathered the UN into existence, does a superb job of weaving all the disparate books into something like a long historical lesson on international exercises on the lines of the one currently being undertaken by the US.

I leave you to pore through it (do so with close attention), and with the note that his rave review of Prestowitz's book ("It would be hard to imagine a better, or more readable, analysis of United States policy over the last fifty years ..") has led me to move it to the top of my reading list immediately.

An excerpt from the review:

Other major, and global, threats to future security and stability—poverty and economic imbalance, the dwindling of essential natural resources like fresh water, the accelerating degradation of the environment—at present command far less attention than the policies and actions of the world's single superpower and the ferocity and ingenuity of its terrorist enemies.

15. marjoribanks - 9/24/2003 10:18:41 AM

Not that it belongs in this thread, but I want to publicly express my unequivocal admiration for the NYRB.

It goes out of its way to avoid cant, and the kind of instant-gratification journalism that colors even the purportedly "serious" newsmagazines, and publishes these lengthy, historically-aware, thoughtful articles in each edition.

It's an invaluable publication, really.

16. jexster - 9/24/2003 12:49:17 PM

French president, Jacques Chirac, who spoke after Mr Bush, blamed the US-led war for sparking one of the most severe crises in the history of the UN and argued that Mr Bush's unilateral actions could lead to anarchy.

"No one can act alone in the name of all and no one can accept the anarchy of a society without rules," he said. "The war, launched without the authorisation of the security council, shook the multilateral system. The UN has just been through one of the most grave crises in its history."


17. jexster - 9/24/2003 12:56:01 PM

Why George Soros is acting....

INC Moves to Take Over Iraqi Finances

18. jexster - 9/24/2003 12:59:33 PM

Steven R Weisman, New York Times

The audience of world leaders seemed to perceive an American president weakened by plunging approval ratings at home, facing a tough security situation in Iraq where American soldiers are dying every week, and confronted by the beginnings of a revolt against the American timetable for self-rule by several Iraqi leaders installed by the United States. Nor did they seem eager to help. If anything, they appeared more sceptical than ever of Mr Bush's assertions.


19. concerned - 9/24/2003 2:01:50 PM

Re. 11503 -

Jay, you're just wrong. You may not agree with every item of the following excerpt from the WSJ's 'Iraq and al Qaeda', but you can't deny their existence or validity wholesale.

Far from exaggeration, what struck us about the case the President and Colin Powell took to the U.N. last fall and winter was its restraint. It focused mainly on a then-obscure terrorist named Abu Mussab al Zarqawi with no alleged 9/11 link, and a small affiliated terror group called Ansar al Islam operating in the Kurdish area of Northern Iraq. Left out entirely by Mr. Bush were the following stories:

- About a month after September 11, reports surfaced that lead hijacker Mohammed Atta had met in Prague with an Iraqi embassy official and intelligence agent named Ahmed al-Ani. Al-Ani was a later expelled from the Czech Republic, in connection with a plot to bomb Radio Free Europe/Radio Free Iraq. Despite repeated attempts to discredit the report of a meeting between the two, Czech officials at the cabinet level have stuck by the story. Al-Ani has been captured in Iraq, and the public deserves to know what he's telling U.S. officials about that meeting.

- Also in October 2001, two defectors alleged that a 707 fuselage at Salman Pak, south of Baghdad, was being used to train terrorists in the art of hijacking with simple weapons such as knives. Though no link to al Qaeda was alleged, some of the trainees were said to be non-Iraqi Arabs. The fuselage was clearly visible in satellite photos, and has since been found.

- Press reports, which had begun in 1998, resurfaced that former Iraqi intelligence chief and then-ambassador to Turkey Faruk Hijazi had met with bin Laden and associates on multiple occasions. Hijazi is in U.S. custody too, and has reportedly confirmed some of the alleged contacts.



20. concerned - 9/24/2003 2:24:25 PM

You'll just have to forgive me if I believe the deceit lies with those who are criticizing the GWB administration for not ignoring the Saddam regime/terrorist ties.

21. concerned - 9/24/2003 2:35:02 PM

From Reuters:


Iraq council says France exploiting Iraq crisis


BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Iraq's Governing Council accused France Wednesday of using Iraq to try to settle scores with the United States.

At the same time, it declared that it was working with the U.S. administration in Iraq to restore sovereignty to the Iraqi people as fast as possible.

"The problem with (French) President (Jacques) Chirac and France is that they have not been in discussions with the Iraqi side. We don't know for what reasons or what they are trying to achieve," said Iyad Allawi, a doctor who was a member of the Baath party and now sits on the council.

"Our fear really is that they are using Iraq as a pawn to settle their differences with the U.S...It is regrettable that France is trying to settle some scores," he told a news conference.

France has consistently opposed the United States on Iraq and was against the war. It now says the United States should hand power back to Iraqis within months.

Washington contends that rushing the process would be reckless and that proper security and a new constitution need to be in place before any election.

"The Governing Council is working with the Coalition Provisional Authority (U.S.-led administration) to restore security and sovereignty to this country...The whole Governing Council is working to get sovereignty as fast as we can," a spokesman for another Iraqi council member told reporters.

Iraqis are eager for sovereignty though many accuse the Governing Council of playing into the hands of the United States. At the weekend a council member was shot in an assassination attempt and remains in a critical condition.



Even the Iraq Council is telling the French to back off. Think Chirac etal are savvy enough to take the hint?

22. concerned - 9/24/2003 2:36:07 PM

Warning to LWers: stop trying to use Iraq to get at the Bush Administration.

23. jexster - 9/24/2003 2:38:30 PM

ooooooooooo

24. Wombat - 9/24/2003 2:39:40 PM

Concerned:

The Bush Administration has now said that there was no link between Iraq and 9/11. Good enough for you?

25. jexster - 9/24/2003 2:41:42 PM

The lying incompetents are trotting out the puppets...blissfully ignorant of the fact that the Governing Council's position and France's are virtually identical..

Fox is dutifully airing a "town hall"...an in bedded pile of crap that illustrates the point nicely..

Interviewing a second level IC press flaK:

"Take off your official hat if you will, and tell us as "real" Iraqi...."

26. jexster - 9/24/2003 2:43:28 PM

Sorry TD...that Same Old Shit...it clogs our toilets

27. jexster - 9/24/2003 2:47:40 PM

You can bet the farm TD...

We're gonna hang Iraq around that fraud's neck and drown him.

Has an American president ever delivered such a bafflingly impertinent speech before the General Assembly as the one George W. Bush gave this morning?

Here were the world's foreign ministers and heads of state, anxiously awaiting some sign of an American concession to realism—even the sketchiest outline of a plan to share not just the burden but the power of postwar occupation in Iraq. And Bush gave them nothing, in some ways less than nothing.


Bush's message can be summarized as follows: The U.S.-led occupation authority is doing good work in Iraq; you should come help us; if you don't, you're on the side of the terrorists.

The speech seemed cobbled from the catchphrases of last year's playbook, without showing the slightest recognition that the old words have grown stale and sour.

Bush dredged out the familiar formula—weapons of mass destruction plus terrorism equals the enemy in Iraq—forgetting, or perhaps not caring, that it didn't persuade the United Nations back in November, when Saddam was still in power, and couldn't hope to win backers now.

He described the guerrilla war, still ongoing, as a battle against "terrorists and holdouts of the previous regime"—ignoring a recent finding of the U.S. intelligence community that the main, and most rapidly growing, threat these days comes from ordinary Iraqis, resentful of the occupation.

He laid out the context of the battle as a contest between "those who work for peaceful change and those who adopt the methods of gangsters." Yet it is hard to see how Bush's pre-emptive-war doctrine fits the former category, and it's painful to observe that many Iraqis would say the U.S. occupation—whose soldiers have pounded down so many doors in the middle of the night—fits the latter.


28. jexster - 9/24/2003 3:02:49 PM

September 20

My son, Tim, left for Kuwait on April 29, 2003 and entered Iraq sometime in mid June 2003. His platoon was immediately sent to Baghdad where they are providing security for the Iraqi Governing Council. He works night shift security for the Council Building, and check points on a rotating schedule. ...

The newspapers rarely report anything about the war in Iraq anymore. When I attend peace vigils, sometimes I will hear the comment "The war is over!". But its not over for the U.S. soldiers, their families, or the people of Iraq. It won't be over for us until ALL of our troops are home.

Our government needs to hand over the reconstruction of Iraq to the U.N. Please - End the occupation of Iraq and bring our troops home now!

Vicky Monk
Seattle, WA
posted 23 september

29. robertjayb - 9/24/2003 3:35:34 PM

...and the farce plays on...

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The CIA's top weapons-hunter in Iraq is not expected to reach any conclusions on Iraq's alleged weapons programs in his upcoming report, an agency spokesman said Wednesday.

David Kay, who is preparing an initial report on U.S. efforts to find weapons of mass destruction alleged to have been held by Saddam Hussein's government, will present his findings to CIA Director George J. Tenet and other officials soon.

``Dr. Kay is still receiving information from the field, and this will be just the first progress report, an interim report, and we expect it will reach no firm conclusions, nor will it rule anything in or out,'' said CIA spokesman Bill Harlow.


30. concerned - 9/24/2003 4:23:15 PM

Re. 11524 -

Wombat -

So what? The Bush Administration never said there was a direct causal link in the first place.

31. jexster - 9/24/2003 4:28:27 PM

This isn't news to TD but for the rest of us, Robert Novak reports that Republicans are increasingly angry and not a little worried especially over the Emperor's performance yesterday at the UN:

"They're asking 'Why, when we don't have money for our schools or to fix our sewers, is Bush pouring billions into Iraq?"

32. jexster - 9/24/2003 6:32:00 PM

WASHINGTON - The United States may have to alert thousands more National Guard and Reserve troops within weeks that they are needed for duty in Iraq the Pentagon 's second-ranking general said Wednesday.


Warning to LWers: stop trying to use Iraq to get at the Bush Administration.

33. jexster - 9/24/2003 6:40:41 PM

TD's Tax Dollars At Work - 1500 Inspectors Fail to Find WMD's CIA Reports

34. concerned - 9/24/2003 6:44:10 PM

Re. 11532 -

Feel free to ignore warning if you're such a partisan swine that the deaths of Iraqis and coalition forces is of no consequence to you.

35. jexster - 9/24/2003 7:06:09 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - Bombs rocked a teeming quarter of Baghdad and a sex-film theater in Mosul on Wednesday, reportedly killing at least three Iraqis and wounding dozens. In a string of ground clashes, the U.S. military said they killed nine Iraqis on one of the bloodiest days of combat in weeks.

Warning to LWers: stop trying to use Iraq to get at the Bush Administration.

36. jexster - 9/24/2003 7:06:49 PM

Bush lies...thousands die...

37. jexster - 9/24/2003 8:08:41 PM

TD you can spare me, at least, the crocodile tears ...

I posted this roughly one year ago today against your bloodlust...


I SPEAK OF PEACE

"(Poet Laureate) John Masefield admired the splendid beauty of the university, he said, because it was `a place where those who hate ignorance may strive to know, where those who perceive truth may strive to make others see.' I have, therefore, chosen this time and this place to discuss a topic on which ignorance too often abounds and the truth is too rarely perceived yet it is the most important topic on earth: world peace.

What kind of peace do I mean? What kind of peace do we seek? Not a Pax Americana enforced on the world by American weapons of war. Not the peace of the grave or the security of the slave. I am talking about genuine peace, the kind of peace that makes life on earth worth living, the kind that enables men and nations to grow and to hope and to build a better life for their children not merely peace for Americans but peace for all men and women-not merely peace in our time but peace for all time. ...I speak of peace, therefore, as the necessary rational end of rational men. I realize that the pursuit of peace is not as dramatic as the pursuit of war-and frequently the words of the pursuer fall on deaf ears. But we have no more urgent task."

- President John F. Kennedy
June 10, 1963


38. concerned - 9/24/2003 8:37:54 PM

Re. 11537 -

You have it exactly wrong. I have a much stronger aversion to bloodshed in general than you or 99.9% of Left Wingers in general. You by definition prevaricate when you in any way try to connect me with bloodthirstiness - perhaps you are projecting?

39. jayackroyd - 9/24/2003 8:41:19 PM

11519

Yes, connie, you're on message. If you repeated discredited things enough times, maybe enough people will believe it to let your party keep power. That is still the Bush strategy. I'm shocked. I really am. There can be no question about this being a mistake, about it being a misreading of intelligence evidence, of the neo cons manipulating an ignorant but gung ho president.

They lied on purpose, to advance an agenda that is killing US soldiers and Iraqi civilians. They still have not come on their motivation.

And they keep repeating the lies.

Yes, you're on message.

Heaven forfend if this strategy works.

40. jexster - 9/24/2003 8:44:04 PM

Yea and you are a centrist...

If we lived in a Perfect World, we would put paid to that happy horseshit right quick...or more precisely your own words would do the deed

41. jayackroyd - 9/24/2003 8:45:46 PM

They still have not come CLEAN on their motivation

42. concerned - 9/25/2003 2:18:24 AM

re. 11539 -

You're pathetic, Jay. You haven't posted anything whatsoever that mitigates against 11519 and your attempts to substitute LW jackass braying wouldn't discredit a plugged nickel, although they do invoke the ghost of Hitler and his Big Lies.

Judging by you & jexster, when you Lefties have nothing left to lose in the credibility department, indiscriminately beating the partisan propaganda drum must look like a pretty good idea.

43. concerned - 9/25/2003 2:56:40 AM

Speaking of Hitler....


The commentary by Doug Saunders of Toronto's Globe and Mail began in a fashion familiar to readers and viewers of the Western news media:

"Six months before, the world had cheered as the statues of the dictator came crashing down. The Americans had seemed heroic. But now things were going very badly. The occupation was chaotic, the American soldiers were hated and they were facing threats from the surviving supporters of the dictator, whose whereabouts were uncertain.

"Washington seemed unwilling to pay the enormous bill for reconstruction, and the president didn't appear to have any kind of workable plan to manage the transition to democracy. European allies, distrustful of the arrogant American outlook, were wary of cooperating."


The above written in November, 1945....


44. alistairConnor - 9/25/2003 4:32:53 AM


As a Usenet discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches one." There is a tradition in many groups that, once this occurs, that thread is over, and whoever mentioned the Nazis has automatically lost whatever argument was in progress. Godwin's Law thus practically guarantees the existence of an upper bound on thread length in those groups

45. alistairConnor - 9/25/2003 4:35:32 AM

The above is Godwin's Law.

I would be tempted to postulate Con's Exception to Godwin's Law :

* When it's Con who makes the Nazi comparison, it doesn't kill the thread because
a) nobody takes offence because nobody takes him seriously, and
b) he's too dumb to realise he's lost the argument.

46. PelleNilsson - 9/25/2003 5:01:19 AM

Hahaha!

Masterful analysis.

47. Wombat - 9/25/2003 7:29:45 AM

A comparison of Iraq to Germany in the aftermath of WWII is ludicrous. Germany was bombed flat, not a bridge left standing; tens of thousands dead--if not more--millions of refugees; occupiers working at cross-purposes; no industrial plant left standing. Iraq has none of this.

On the other hand, the fate of Germany after the war was something that was discussed and planned well before the war ended. Whatever hostility that occupiers experienced was not translated into partisan warfare--whatever Condolizza Rice might say, and in the U.S. and British sectors, services and infrastructure were being put back together very quickly (the French and Soviets had different agendas).

48. Wombat - 9/25/2003 7:38:35 AM

The crux of the pro-administration psychophants' criticism appears to be "everything's going much better in Iraq--except in Baghdad and the Sunni triangle--but all the media does is report the bad stuff happening in that area." That is somewhat like saying that everything is going well in the United States, except on the Eastern seaboard and in California.

49. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 8:15:52 AM

Well for me the funniest part is connie can't decide whether his defense is a variation on the "it all depends on what you mean by 'is'" position, claiming the administration has never REALLY claimed there was a link or the defense that there really was such a link.

The point of the carefully constructed statement that can be said to not mean what is meant backfires on the president. By using those 16 words, rather than coming right out and saying "I have convincing evidence that Saddam will soon have a nuke," he takes away the "I made a mistake" or "I was misinformed" defense. He made the statement in that way on purpose in the Clintonian expectation that he could say that a blow job isn't "sex" in the event he got caught.

When the president carefully constructs his yellowcake story, it's clear that he's trying to pull off an adolescent trick of lying while telling the literal truth. That doesn't work on adults, as Clinton discovered.

But it makes it clear that he knew what he was doing at the time--that this was no oversight, no misspeaking, no misunderstanding that the underlying claim was held to be false by his people.

50. alistairconnor - 9/25/2003 8:32:10 AM

What I find fascinating is the co-incidence of the poll numbers :

the number of Americans who believe Saddam personally had a hand in 9/11 just dipped below 50%. As did Bush's approval rating.

At least one of these is not going to go back up.

51. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 10:13:14 AM

Israeli reservist pilots refuse to bomb Palestinians

The lead:

A group of reserve air force pilots drew condemnation Thursday for refusing to carry out airstrikes in Palestinian areas, but their unprecedented protest set off an emotional debate on the ethics of the targeted killings of militants

52. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 10:49:13 AM

I just heard a radio report that Edward Said has died at 74.

53. Wombat - 9/25/2003 10:50:46 AM

Not to speak ill of the dead, but Said epitomized why intellectuals should stay out of politics.

54. concerned - 9/25/2003 10:57:25 AM

Re. 11545 -


AC -

You can't win an argument without facts, and I'm the only one who has presented them in this one.

So much for your cheap shot, loser.

55. concerned - 9/25/2003 10:58:48 AM

Re. 11546 -

Unfortunately for you, I wasn't the first one to bring up this comparison.

56. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 11:02:43 AM

Connie, just because something shows up in the weekly standard doesn't mean it is a fact. As the vice president illustrated last Sunday saying something over and over again also cannot transform a false claim into a true claim.

57. Wombat - 9/25/2003 11:16:07 AM

Presenting someone's opinion--second hand at that--is not factual. Neither is presenting statements of fact that have since been disproven, were speculative in the first place, or remain unproven.

58. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 11:58:24 AM

Or, worse, repeating something that is false and deliberately planted, as with the recent Clark smears.

59. concerned - 9/25/2003 12:08:29 PM

Re. 11547 -

Since you are immune to shades of nuance, I don't expect you to comprehend that the larger point of the article I cited is that media skepticism about the progress of the Allied occupation in Germany six months after the end of the war in Germany was in many ways better founded than it is today wrt the restructuring of Iraq.

Your recital of the differences between Iraq today and Germany post WWII are mildly entertaining, if nothing else, at least where you haven't lifted them directly from my cite.





60. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 12:24:46 PM

Actually the Globe and Mail article is making an interesting point. It does leave out one fact that is different this time. There were no American military casualties in postwar Germany. There was no armed opposition. The children who were given guns to shoot soldiers in the aftermath did not shoot.

However, the general point of the article--that things will get better is well made. The whole operation may be just about hitting bottom right now, or within a few weeks. Glimmers of hope of UN support are starting to shine. The Germans have started to make their offers. The troops have to have learned something about handling garrison duty by now.

It would easier to be optimistic if there still weren't so many people trying actively to undermine the reconstruction, by killing anyone who is working on it.

61. Wombat - 9/25/2003 12:43:19 PM

One Canadian journalist does not equal a general statement about "media skepticism" concerning the progress of postwar rebuilding in Germany.

It was recognized at the time that rebuilding Germany would take a long time. With Iraq, the administration is only now beginning to admit that it might take longer and cost more money than originally claimed. Why? Even someone as slavish as Concerned must recognize that the Bush administration sold the war to the American public as something that would be over quickly, with minimal sacrifice, and with the reconstruction costs defrayed by Iraqi oil exports. If they did this in ignorance, then they are not competent to oversee the reconstruction--or to govern the United States.

If they deliberately ignored information to the contrary in creating their rosy postwar scenario,and lied--again--to the U.S. public, high administration officials need to lose their jobs, and--given the lowered bar created by the Republicans--impeachment of Bush should also be considered.

62. jexster - 9/25/2003 12:54:18 PM

Fool Us Once Fuck You: Bush Falls Flat at UN
Two Days of Intense Personal Diplomacy Bring No Troops, No $$$

63. jexster - 9/25/2003 1:12:24 PM

Worse than flat...

UN Consider's Pullout from Bush Iraqmire

64. jexster - 9/25/2003 1:38:08 PM

September 25, 2003 Daily Mislead

President Bush's Inspectors Find No Weapons to Support his Claims about Imminent Threat


See also: Special Report on the David Kay WMD Report (pdf)

A desperate five-month search by a team of 1,400 U. S. investigators reportedly has failed to find any new physical evidence of nuclear, chemical or biological weapons in Iraq, despite President Bush's continuing insistence the weapons not only existed but posed an imminent threat to the United States.1

The failure of the U. S. team, led by Bush appointee David Kay, seriously undermines the integrity of the President's assertion two days prior to the war: "Intelligence gathered...leaves no doubt that the Iraq regime continues to possess and conceal some of the most lethal weapons ever devised."2

Bush's bold declaration, according to a subsequent review, was based on old and faulty intelligence data. Former CIA official Richard Kerr, who helped with the review, said Bush's assessment ignored "caveats and disagreements" in the data3 and relied "heavily on evidence that was at least five years old."4 Even the Pentagon's intelligence agency had warned in a classified September 2002 report that "there is no reliable information on whether Iraq is producing and stockpiling chemical weapons."5

Bush continued to claim otherwise, saying inaccurately in May, "We found the weapons of mass destruction" and predicting "we'll find more weapons as time goes on."6 The widespread search he initiated, however, now has turned up not a single weapon of mass destruction.

65. jexster - 9/25/2003 1:38:18 PM

Sources:
1. Inquiry Unlikely to Report Finding Iraq Arms, Reuters, 9/24/03, http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=SWEI0LEDF3UJ0CRBAEZSFEY? type=topNews&storyID=3502138
2. Presidential Speech, 3/17/03, http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/03/20030317-7.html
3. "U.S. Used 'Old' Data",
4. "Gauging a threat with little data ; Withdrawal of UN inspectors created intelligence vacuum", New York Times, 7/22/03.
5. Defense Agency Issues Excerpt on Iraqi Chemical Warfare Program, State Department, 6/7/03, http://usinfo.state.gov/topical/pol/arms/03060720.htm.
6. Interview of the President by TVP, Poland, 5/29/03, http://www.whitehouse.gov/g8/interview5.html

66. jexster - 9/25/2003 7:11:33 PM

Growing Rift Between Bush and Iraqi GC

UNITED NATIONS, Sept. 24 (UPI) -- Representatives of the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council did their best to soften objections to the draft U.S. resolution on Iraq after a meeting with National Security Council Adviser Condoleezza Rice Wednesday.

But in a press conference, it became clear that the Iraqis hand-picked by the U.S.-led Coalition Provisional Authority had a very different message for foreign leaders gathered at the U.N. General Assembly this week than the U.S. delegation led by President Bush.

An official with the Iraqi delegation told United Press International that Rice pressed the Iraqis to coordinate their efforts with the White House in the meeting. This source said, "She said we all have to work together. Let's coordinate."

While Ahmad Chalabi, the leader of the Iraqi delegation, opened his remarks by thanking Bush, the U.S. Congress and the American people, for intervening to remove "the scourge of Saddam Hussein," he also explained key differences he had with the American plans for proceeding in his country's reconstruction. On the question of whether Iraqis would welcome foreign peacekeepers and what powers should be handed over in the short term to the Iraqi Governing Council, a rift has clearly emerged between Washington and Baghdad.

67. concerned - 9/25/2003 7:16:37 PM

Re. 11563 -

How could the UN 'pull out' if they never got past dipping their toe in in the first place?

68. Edmund Dantes - 9/25/2003 8:35:52 PM

"Growing rift"?


Ahmad Chalabi, current president of the council, said, "We have no
disagreement with the United States Government. We are not at odds with
the United States. We are grateful to President Bush and we are working
with the United States to achieve our common objective of a democratic,
pluralist constitution for Iraq which will be approved by referendum.

"This is a victory for the Iraqi people and for the process of freedom and
democracy in Iraq," he said.

"We were proud to be present in the General Assembly yesterday when
President Bush gave his speech. There is nothing in his speech that we
disagree with. We share the common objective of having a free, democratic
Iraq in the international community," Chalabi said.

69. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 8:56:11 PM

concerned--

The UN has 1

70. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 8:59:21 PM

concerned--

The UN has 115 or so people supporting various humanitarian efforts in Iraq now. The first bombing reduced them to that number (a journalist I know who covers the UN said that there was much talk about pulling out entirely at that time). They've said recently that they may pull out another couple of dozen.

All for security reasons.

If you had the freakin' link you would have seen among others, this paragraph:

The world body has pulled nearly 340 of its 400 international staffers out of the country, U.N. officials said. U.N. offices, once friendly and inviting compared with U.S. military bases and quarters of the Coalition Provisional Authority, have become barricaded fortresses surrounded by concrete and security guards.

71. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 9:02:27 PM

Eddy,

The UPI story makes a pretty clear reference to that set of remarks by Chalabi, While Ahmad Chalabi, the leader of the Iraqi delegation, opened his remarks by thanking Bush, the U.S. Congress and the American people, for intervening to remove "the scourge of Saddam Hussein,"

That doesn't mean that he is not pulling back from the US as his future power base. He's done pretty well, leveraging nothing (or worse) into this position. If he's decided that the US is no longer the horse to ride, the neo cons should be concerned. They saddled themselves up, in a big way.

72. Edmund Dantes - 9/25/2003 10:37:41 PM

Nothing Chalabi says points to anything of the kind. Since Jasper's link doesn't work, it's difficult to see what he bases his headline on, but from what he have, his interpretation relies on editorializing by the reporter. I've posted what Chalabi actually said. Go to news.google.com and search on "rift" and "Chalabi."

There are three members in the delegation. Here is what one of the other two, Hoshyar Zebari, Iraqi's foreign minister, had to say:

"[T]here is no difference whatsoever between the views of the Governing Council and the United States or the coalition on how we should proceed and move forward. There has been a great deal of confusion recently as if we are opposed to each other on how to move forward. No."

73. Edmund Dantes - 9/25/2003 10:39:00 PM

Just wishful thinking by those who want America to fail.

74. ronski - 9/25/2003 10:43:07 PM

With Iraq, the administration is only now beginning to admit that it might take longer and cost more money than originally claimed.

How long did they claim it would take and how expensive, exactly?

75. jayackroyd - 9/25/2003 11:26:24 PM

In which time frame?

76. concerned - 9/26/2003 1:17:09 AM

Re. 11556 -

That article's from the Wall Street Journal, Jay, not the Weekly Standard. IAC, since you're utterly unable to refute any part of it, let's just go with it for now, shall we?

77. concerned - 9/26/2003 1:21:29 AM

Re. 11558 -

Can you be specific here? I obviously haven't been keeping up on smears like you have.

78. OhioSTOPAS - 9/26/2003 5:49:30 AM

Ronski (re 11574): White House Budget Director Mitch Daniels estimated a $50-60 billion cost of the war. Assistant Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz said in February, "It's hard to conceive that it would take more forces to provide stability in post-Saddam Iraq than it would take to conduct the war itself and secure the surrender of Saddam's security forces and his army."

79. ScreamingSin - 9/26/2003 5:53:19 AM

I'd like a bit of stability in my life....what are you saying? War is cheaper than stability?

80. alistairconnor - 9/26/2003 7:03:57 AM

Monty :
Nothing Chalabi says points to anything of the kind

Are you being disingenuous, or are you just not paying attention?

Iraq Council Head Shifts to Position at Odds With U.S.

Of course, that was a long time ago... four whole days... perhaps longer than your attention span. (And who cares about ancient history?)

And more importantly, it was before Rice gave him a stern talking-to.

81. alistairconnor - 9/26/2003 7:06:47 AM

Hahahaha! This just in :


Powell to Iraqi Governing Council : Hurry up and take power!

The BBC's Ian Pannell in Washington says the move is a sharp about-face in American policy - and a concession to critics of the US-led occupation of Iraq.

... but he would, wouldn't he?

82. alistairconnor - 9/26/2003 7:21:26 AM

The same news reported by the NYT

Secretary of State Colin L. Powell, responding to demands from France and others for a rapid timetable for self-rule in Iraq, said yesterday that the United States would set a deadline of six months for Iraqi leaders working under the American-led occupation to produce a new constitution for their country.
[...]
Mr. Powell's establishment of a deadline, and his tone of urgency in general, came as the United States has tried to satisfy France and other skeptical nations who say that a quick transfer of power to Iraqis must be part of any Security Council resolution expanding United Nations authority in Iraq.


It's logical that it's Powell announcing this shift in policy. Maybe the cold reception Bush got at the UN has produced the sorely-needed reality check, and he's at last going to sideline the madmen?

83. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 7:55:02 AM

No. I think this means they have decided they need to declare victory and get out so that there are no body bags coming back pre-election.

Bush's UN speech made it very clear that there is only one thing they care about.

Civil war, here we come.

84. PelleNilsson - 9/26/2003 8:02:25 AM

I think you are right, jay, and it doesn't portend well for Iraq.

85. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 8:04:42 AM

Eddy,

It's very tiresome to have to refute things over and over again that have already been settled publicly. This, of course, is an important part of the wingnut arsenal. Repeat false or refuted charges over and over again in the hopes that repetition will overcome fact. As for the first claim in concerned's list, Oct 21, NYT:

- Pres Vaclav Havel of Czech Republic has reportedly told White House that he cannot find evidence to confirm reports that Mohamed Atta met with Iraqi intelligence officer in Prague months before Sept 11 terrorist attacks on New York and Washington; message was delivered discreetly earlier this year in effort by Havel to avoid publicly embarrassing other prominent officials in his government who had given credibility to reports.

Look, I said in March that it was transparently false that there were any links. This was very clear before the war. There's been no new evidence provided, and as the president himself said last week, there are no links. There are no links, there were no links, the administration knew it before the war and they lied about it, on purpose, because they needed a pretext that polled well.

This is beyond doubt or debate at this point.

And the wsj editorial page is little more reliable than the weekly standard.

86. Wombat - 9/26/2003 8:09:50 AM

The Washington Post reports that US Air Force analysts who have examined Iraqi aerial drones feel vindicated in their prewar assessment that they were to be used for photoreconnaisance, and were not large enough to carry internal or external storage tanks. Their views clashed with those of the Bush administration, which claimed that they could be used for deploying chemical and biological weapons. Yet another lie.

87. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 8:17:17 AM

11577

Wanna see the journalistic equivalent of friendly fire? It ain't pretty. But here goes.

This week Howard Fineman leads his column on Wes Clark with an anecdote about how Clark allegedly tried to get into the Bush administration, got shot down by Karl Rove, and then in spite became a Democrat.

Fineman's evidence is the say-so of Colorado's Republican Governor Bill Owens and one of his appointees, Marc Holtzman.

"I would have been a Republican if Karl Rove had returned my phone calls," they say Clark told him.

Clark told Fineman he had just been kidding around. But Owens and Holtzman assured Fineman that Clark was dead serious.

Now, Owens is a Republican and he's close to Karl Rove and President Bush. So I don't think you've got to use your imagination too creatively to see what agenda Owens might be advancing -- especially since the story doesn't really add up on several other counts as well.

However that may be, this afternoon The Weekly Standard's Matthew Continetti chimes in with a quick bit of investigative reporting.

Says Continetti ...

Unfortunately for Clark, the White House has logged every incoming phone call since the beginning of the Bush administration in January 2001. At the request of THE DAILY STANDARD, White House staffers went through the logs to check whether Clark had ever called White House political adviser Karl Rove. The general hadn't. What's more, Rove says he doesn't remember ever talking to Clark, either.
Continetti goes on to say that "this isn't the general's first whopper [and that] Clark's latest tale bears little resemblance to reality," trying, to true to form, to nail down the Clark as fabulist meme -- a la Al Gore and every other Democratic presidential candidate.


88. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 8:17:39 AM

But wait a second. Do you see the problem here? Right. Clark isn't the one who's saying he put in calls to Karl Rove. Owens and Hotzman are saying it.

So to the extent this means anything -- and that's highly debatable -- it discredits them, not him.

In other words, the canard floated by one group of Rove's pals on day one gets shot down by another group of his friends on day two. Like I said, journalistic friendly fire on the right.


To my friends at the Standard I can only say that the next time you put something like this together on the fly you might want to hash it out with a Venn Diagram or a flow chart or something before you go to press.

Meanwhile, Kevin Drum asks an awfully good question about how the White House suddenly became so forthcoming about phone record searches.

And look how they fall in line. Andrew Sullivan's response to the phone call idiocy ...

HOW LOOPY IS CLARK? The answer, I fear, is that he's Ross Perot without the emotional stability. So now his previous remark that he'd be a Republican if Karl Rove had returned his calls is just a metaphor, or a fabrication, or a dream, or something. Or maybe he called Rove on a cell-phone or an email. Will he respond to these discrepancies?
Ahhh the discrepancies. Someone else needs a flow chart.

89. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 8:21:41 AM

Sorry about the long post, but linking would have been inconvenient, because it's low on the page. This is from Talking Points Memo.

This also illustrates another wingnut strategy. Get something fishy into a low circulation wingnut rag. Get Rush to read it out loud or O'Reilly to quote it. Then it gets into a general circulation magazine as if it were true.

This happened most famously with the Ten Biggest Problems Teachers Face from their Students, a poll supposedly comparing the answers from 1950s to the 80s. Gum chewing replace by gun toting, that kind of thing. That was in all the major circulation periodicals for some time before it was debunked.

90. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 8:38:53 AM

Pelle

These are the lead paragraphs on this story in today's NYT:



ecretary of State Colin L. Powell, responding to demands from France and others for a rapid timetable for self-rule in Iraq, said yesterday that the United States would set a deadline of six months for Iraqi leaders working under the American-led occupation to produce a new constitution for their country.

The constitution, which would spell out whether Iraq should be governed by a presidential or parliamentary system, would clear the way for elections and the installation of a new leadership next year, Mr. Powell said. Not until then, he added, would the United States transfer authority from the American-led occupation to Iraq itself.


It's ambiguous. I can't tell whether he is saying they leave when the constitution is written or when the constitutional government is installed.

There is, of course, a great deal of wishful thinking in this. What if they don't make the deadline? What sanction or remedy is available?

91. alistairconnor - 9/26/2003 8:50:14 AM

What sanction or remedy is available?

The sad thing is the huge psychological balls-up surrounding the sudden haste to hand over power.

The Iraqi governing council makes a show of independence, and starts lobbying for a handover of sovereignty, in contradiction with the White House line. Clearly, this is a bid for credibility at home and in the international arena : look, we're not complete puppets really. The germ of rebirth of Iraqi national pride? The psychological key to damping down the incipient civil war? Well, it was a nice try.

The reaction? A stern admonishment from Rice, and they are forced to eat their hats in public. Humiliation : that's sure to calm the insurrection.

And now? Quick, get to work, no shirking, take your damn responsibilities, NOW, says Powell.

Masterful.

92. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 9:01:51 AM

No, this is a very sage move, and no doubt comes because the increasingly powerful Powell has been able to read the riot act to the neocon scum behind the scenes.

The US is down to having to call up a new division of reserves and NG if it doesn't get 15-25 thousand foreign troops in the next six weeks/two months. If there is a callup of reserves and NG, and they go to Iraq over the holidays, that is the only story you will see in the media for the next few months.

Election over. Non-Bush wins.

Besides the fact that the whole world is clamouring for it, and it is the right thing to do, and it is the one way to start repairing American standing with its allies and beyond - it is last-ditch politics. The US will create that timeline (Makiya is working on the constitution as we speak anyway), a much more solid (and acceptable) UN resolution will be presented. And international troops will come on in. And Bush survives the winter, to fight anew in 2004.

The move signals also the administration's recognition that the Iraq oild revenues are not, after all, the spoils of war and whatever conracts are going to emerge down the road will have to be distributed by other means than US fiat. This whole aspect was also becoming a political albatross, so it makes political sense to - effectively - cut bait and move on.

It is a massive retreat, a total loss for the neocon scum. But this defeat is being cloaked cleverly, and there are several ways to spin it as pragmatic leadership, and we will no doubt see that rather than the abject apology (followed by stoning) that we should be getting wrt these miserable fuckers.

93. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 9:16:39 AM

A total loss will be if an islamist state emerges in the aftermath.

No, I take it back. A TOTAL loss would be if Saddam emerges in the aftermath. I don't see how they can leave with him still at large.

94. Edmund Dantes - 9/26/2003 9:22:09 AM

Consumer goods, that's the stuff

> There was plenty of pent-up demand. Sanctions imposed by the United Nations after Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990 kept a lot of goods out of the country. Before that, an eight-year war with Iran drained the life from Iraq's economy. For nearly 20 years, there was little to buy. And during three decades of rule by Saddam's Baath Party, virtually all companies were state-owned or state-controlled. In 2001, Iraq's gross domestic product was $27.9 billion, compared with $47.6 billion in 1980.

> Since the collapse of Saddam's regime, police Officer Gailan Wahoudi, 31, has bought a new television, a refrigerator and an air conditioner. ''It is a new freedom I never had before,'' he says.

95. rdbrewer - 9/26/2003 9:26:37 AM

You guys, what Powell is doing -- and what he has done several times for the Bush admin -- is playing the "good cop" in a huge game of "good cop, bad cop." It's done for you guys, and it's working again. The Bush admin deflects and defuses your complaints by presenting you a good cop alternative in which you can place your confidence. Clinton did the same thing with Reno and Freeh.

Masterful, indeed.

96. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 10:50:22 AM

A total loss will be if an islamist state emerges in the aftermath.

You may be misunderstanding me. It is a total loss for the neocons for the control of Iraq policy. That's all.

This is a retreat from everything they have been promising themselves, most likely the Pres, certainly Congress, and certainly the American people.

It's an agreement that this country will now go back to the UN (after Bush's idiotic dress-up cowboy routine) and make nice, and - crucially - hand over significant power to the member states in the mapping the future of Iraq.

It's an agreement that the "spoils of war" aren't going to us after all. This was on the cards for a while. I previously wondered here how they'd manage to wriggle out of this promise/claim without massive political damage. They may have done exactly that, because now the retreat can be sold as pragmatic.

Finally, it's an agreement that the US isn't going to be doing jack in terms of the neocon plan to extend the "War on Terror" indefinitely and to other countries. This return to the UN puts paid to that fanciful notion (which is why you won't see our chest-beating baboon cohort back here very soon) and the neocon plans have been returned to the toilet whence they came.

No, Rove has thrown in the towel on all of the ideologically-driven agendae, pulled the plug on the neocon scum's dreams. It's pure politics again, it's all about minimizing damage and burnishing standing. And as such, this is a good move in pure political terms because another couple of months of the status quo and Dubya would have been making his retirement plans.

Now, unfortunately for all of us, the game isn't over at all.

97. PelleNilsson - 9/26/2003 10:50:42 AM

I dispute marj's analysis. The drafting of a constitution and the installation of a "constitutional government" are just cosmetics. The proof is in the pudding, that is in holding some kind of elections and installing a government that is not only "constitutional" but legitimate in the eyes of the Iraqis and which can ensure security and stability.

If the Bush administration takes the US out before that task is done, thus sacrificing Iraq on the altar of reelection, the US will never again be able to claim the leadership of the free world. This Empire, like the ones before it, will be destroyed by its own internal contradictions.

98. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 10:59:31 AM

Brewer,

There are two areas where the right-wing in this country persists in blind insanity.

One is Clinton. Everything the Dems do is because Clinton is a masterful sinister genius behind the scenes. Your running mates, a good number of them, still believe that the Clintons "ran" Clark because they want him to lose, so that she can run as favorite in 2008. One can only avert one's eyes in embarassment when your running mates pull their pants down in public with theories like this.

The other blind insanity comes in assessing the very clear divide and fault line in this current administration (and to some extent the Party leadership) between the neocon scum and the old-line, "mature" Republicans. Dubya, being a total one-note/one-thought vacuum, is neither. Wolfowitz-Rumsfeld-Cheney are the neocons and every move they make is driven in that direction. Powell is more of an old-line Republican in that he's pragmatic and tends to take lessons from history rather than ignore it. There has been a tussle between the two sides from the first, sometimes public, mostly demonstrated in vacillating policy.

You and your running mates want to believe some
"masterful" brilliant machiavelli is scripting it all. Your own Clinton, in other words, your anti-Clinton (given fevered imagining #1).

Whatever, dude. Santa Claus is real too.

99. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 11:07:57 AM

The proof is in the pudding, that is in holding some kind of elections and installing a government that is not only "constitutional" but legitimate in the eyes of the Iraqis and which can ensure security and stability.

If the Bush administration takes the US out before that task is done, thus sacrificing Iraq on the altar of reelection,


You're not following me.

The US is simply going to enshrine in a UN resolution that they will hand over power to a legitimate Iraqi government after and acceptable constitution is drafted after elections and after the enshrinement of a constitutional government.

There will be a timetable in the UN resolution, probably, but who gives a shit (least of all the US).

The retreat comes domestically, and at the UN, not really in meaningful terms. It's the breach of promises that neocons made to themselves, to Congress, and tacitly to the public. No oil money, no "next we get Syria", none of that stuff.

I am all for giving each member of the various committees that held hearings on Iraq before the war a baseball bat and letting them have at Wolfowitz and Rumsfeld for lying to them about what would happen after the war.

100. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 11:18:59 AM

Let me test my understanding of Banks' position by responding to you, Pelle.

He's not talking about the ultimate outcome in Iraq. He's talking about the internecine fighting in the White House. The neo-con vision of an Iraq aligned with the US with a friendly, non-Islamic government buying its services from US companies and providing military bases is just not gonna happen. This is now clear.

The election is approaching. Bush's numbers are tanking. They've got to get out. They'll give in to Powell's view--that this stuff needs to be done multi-laterally, and the spoils distributed to all the participants. This is, of course, implicitly admitting an enormous mistake. The US is going to have paid for the foundation of whatever state emerges, but won't get all the spoils nor, perhaps, even the military base they need to get out of SA.

But the fact that the administration is giving up on the neo-con vision doesn't mean that the multilateral strategy will work. In fact, it may be too late. I don't happen to think so, but the administration has certainly done all it could to create an environment for civil war and the possibility of an islamist dictatorship.

101. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 11:23:26 AM

Banks' analysis also makes sense of what was otherwise an incomprehensible speech at the UN. It was, as he predicted, directed entirely at the US audience. The president was standing up there saying that we would stay the course, alone if necessary in the fight against terror, fully aware that at the time Powell working out an exit strategy with other foreign ministers.

The same political strategy. Say "Black Black Black" while doing "White White White." The real question is whether enough Americans are buying the stuff he's peddling anymore.

102. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 11:29:36 AM

Exactly, Jay.

I don't think it's too late to turn this around enough to reduce the day-to-day state of Iraq as an issue in the next elections. It's about as late as they could leave it, but all is not lost (from the Bush standpoint)

And Iraq may well benefit because it'll have the UN there for the next ten years or more, and the fact is that UN troops (say Malaysians and Moroccans and Bangladeshis) will be treated totally differently than US occupiers. We'll be on the road to normality, at the least.

The big losers are the neocon scum. I trust they'll never get their hands on US policy again.

103. PelleNilsson - 9/26/2003 11:32:32 AM

Something came up. Interesting posts, but later.

104. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 11:37:20 AM

Banks--

I am not so sure about the "vacuum" in Bush's head. Their strategy, while not especially clever, is being followed consistently in all policy areas. It is so deeply cynical that I cannot believe the president is unaware of what he is doing.

Yes, the policy rift is real on Iraq. And, yes, the neo-cons shot their wad, and lost. But the president, vice president and Rove are only concerned about one thing and that is how the policy plays. They can't make this one play the way they wanted to anymore, so Bush makes one final speech about how we won the war, defeated terror and created a free nation. Then they hand it over to the UN, and he gets back into the flight suit, victorious.

He can't be so stupid as to not understand this strategy.

105. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 11:41:54 AM

And Iraq may well benefit because it'll have the UN there for the next ten years or more, and the fact is that UN troops (say Malaysians and Moroccans and Bangladeshis) will be treated totally differently than US occupiers. We'll be on the road to normality, at the least.

I'd buy that if the Islamist/Baathist alliance were not directing the force of their attacks at the UN. But it would certainly be nice if the security forces could speak some arabic.

I do agree that Iraq stands a much better chance under UN supervision.

One final question. There is still a huge security problem. The troop levels can't really go down for the forseeable future, can they? Or do you think that blue helmeted arab speakers can be deployed in substantially smaller numbers, successfully?

106. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 11:50:15 AM

Well, we are assuming a few things in that scenario including that the UN (and US allies) are going to meekly follow the scenario laid out by Rove/Bush.

In fact, those countries willwant to play well in their domestic constituencies, as well as quite likely punish Bush for his insults and arrogance.

Thus, there may be a pound of flesh to be paid (of course Bush is always willing to sacrifice American interests for temporary political gain) and the timeline required (now quite narrow) may not be adhered to.

But there is no doubt that if this first step towards multilateralizing goes to plan and the US does not have to call up reserves - then Bush's hand for 2004 is seriously strengthened.

On the vacuum matter, I've given up on trying to find the man behind the empty-eyed mask that is Dubya. He's a vacuum, with a cartoonish Manichean totally born-again vision of the world. Good/evil, friends/enemies, loyal/traitor - that's all he knows, which renders him practically useless in politics, diplomacy, statesmanship, most matters of real import but not as fake-righteous frontman for ideologues with an agenda.

Unfortunately, this makes him an appealing figure to many Americans. I wish we required more than blank-eyed religiosity from US Presidents, but I'm apparently in the minority on this.

107. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 11:59:28 AM

On Iraq, I genuinely believe that if you took the American troops out tomorrow and replaced them with a corpus of personnel which is looked at by most Iraqis as neutral - you'd reduce the attacks exponentially. And the proportion that is actually being launched by organized Baathists and Islamists would dwindle as more Iraqis buy into the idea that they're going to have a sovereign, stable, future.

The worrisome thing right now is that the mass of Iraqis is fed up with the US for not providing item one of the promises that were made. No security (1000 killed a month in Baghdad), the perception that the occupiers only give a shit about oil, etc.

Take that irritant out and we're working more with a scenario that most Iraqis can believe in. Iraqis are (largely) educated, cultured, sophisticated people - they'll sign on to the idea of a sovereign (prosperous) future - without US occupation - very rapidly.

(more later, I'm out of here)

108. alistairconnor - 9/26/2003 12:36:10 PM

Everybody's right. Even (gasp) RDB is right, when he says

You guys, what Powell is doing -- and what he has done several times for the Bush admin -- is playing the "good cop" in a huge game of "good cop, bad cop." It's done for you guys, and it's working again.

I've been talking about this for months, perhaps a year : Bush has an "A" team and a "B" team. Now that the B team have fucked up, they can be sidelined, and the state department people can take over. The president is above the fray, he can do this without damage to himself.

Hell, if it plays out like Marj wishfully projects, I'll be so happy I won't even care if he gets re-elected.

109. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 12:36:38 PM

Just when I start think there is a brain in there, he says something like this:

"I appreciate people's opinions, but I'm more interested in news.... And the best way to get the news is from objective sources, and the most objective sources I have are people on my staff who tell me what's happening in the world."

110. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 2:23:05 PM

Hell, if it plays out like Marj wishfully projects, I'll be so happy I won't even care if he gets re-elected.

I would. The Bush incompetents have also deeply damaged America's valuable ties with the rest of the world, they have also set this country down a very dangerous economic path, they have encouraged the reactionary rabble in-house who properly belong under a firm disciplinary boot, they have a disastrous energy policy, and they have been the most anti-environment administration in recent history.

So, Dubya needs to get the fuck back to Crawford.

111. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 2:23:52 PM

But on Iraq, there is nothing wishful about the possible positive scenarios I have outlined (given some stringent requirements). There are some specific factors which make the current situation a security/development disaster and every reason to believe that a reversal on these factors can realistically lead to a dramatically better situation.

1) The stubborn refusal of Rumsfeld to put in significant more troops.

2) The incredible incompetence of US administrators on the ground, and the lack of considerable financial resources being poured in.

3) The total unsuitablity of US troops as "neutral agent" peacekeepers and nation-builders.

4) The deep and valid suspicion of rank-and-file Iraqis that the US is there to take the oil, period.


Absent these factors, replace the US troops with acceptable substitutes (such as fellow-Muslims from Morocco, Malaysia, Bangladesh), and a good deal of the resentment will fade, as will the suspicions about oil and neo-colonialism in the face of a multilateral administration team (perhaps headed by a Muslim technocrat).

It's win/win. Iraqis will have a real reason to buy into their sovereign future (and discourage/hand in the hard-line Baathists/Islamists who currently get cover).

The losers (besides the US taxpayers, who will still be forking out big-time - but I'm okay with that) are only the neocon scum.

112. marjoribanks - 9/26/2003 2:28:29 PM

Of course, this is only a scenario still, and I am projecting that Powell has indeed won out and that the neocons are mature enough to know that they're beat and should fuck off.

But they may not.

If the scenario I outline above does occur (and there is no reason it should not, if wiser heads in the US prevail) then you'll see - as conceived all along - that the move to inject the West, physically, into the Middle East was a historically correct move.

I can even see being grateful to Dubya in the long run.

Down the line, of course, 20+ years from now when we're in a proper position to assess what the results have been from this venture.

The neocon scum, however, are going to see their star fade from now on in all the way into true disgrace.

113. robertjayb - 9/26/2003 3:53:45 PM

I went to the House of Commons a couple of days ago to watch the debate on the role of the UN in Iraq, and I can tell you: that being an Iraqi and seeing that and the bit of the Hutton Inquiry yesterday, is quite strange. It is like listening to your parents discuss how they should bring you up; it is your life, but you are not making the decisions.

(Salam Pax in the Guardian)

114. concerned - 9/26/2003 5:57:16 PM

marjoribanks is so obsessed about Iraqi oil, and so deeply anti US regarding the reconstruction of Iraq that he compromises his postings on the subject almost to uselessness.

115. judithathome - 9/26/2003 6:08:02 PM

No, he does not but I don't expect you to see that from your far right centrist position.

116. jayackroyd - 9/26/2003 6:10:30 PM

11614

wingnuts: all smear all the time.

117. concerned - 9/26/2003 6:12:20 PM

Sure he is. Iraqi oil is a red herring - their nascent government already is assuming control of its production and distribution. And the most positive thing that can be said about marjoribank's gushing indignation wrt US Iraq policy is that he's venting for some personal reason.

118. concerned - 9/26/2003 6:13:01 PM

Re. 11616 -

Speak for yourself, jay.

119. concerned - 9/26/2003 6:13:58 PM


There is no smear in 11614.

120. concerned - 9/26/2003 6:19:56 PM

The Iraqi suicide attacks on the UN that is causing the UN to pull out argues strongly that merely replacing US forces with those of other nations is no shortcut to reducing Iraqi violence.

From Reuters:

Blow for U.S. as UN Staff Quit, Iraqi Leader Mourned
September 26, 2003 08:00 AM ET By Fiona O'Brien and Rosalind Russell

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Grieving Iraqis paid their last respects on Friday to an assassinated U.S.-appointed politician, as the United Nations pulled more staff out of the country following two suicide bomb attacks.

The murder of Akila al-Hashemi, who died on Thursday five days after assassins opened fire on her car, and the U.N. pullout were fresh setbacks to U.S. efforts to speed the process of building a credible Iraqi government and win more international help to police and rebuild the country.

In the town of Baquba, a hotbed of guerrilla activity northeast of Baghdad, a mortar attack on a market killed eight Iraqis on Thursday evening, the U.S. military said. A spokesman said no U.S. troops were wounded.

More than 15 people were injured and locals said the death toll would have been higher if the attack happened earlier in the day when the market was busier.

"We don't know who was behind this crime -- maybe people who want to destabilize Iraq or people who were trying to target the Americans," Khaled Youssef said. "But in the end, it was Iraqis who were killed."

In the northern oil hub of Kirkuk, a rocket-propelled grenade attack on a U.S. Army vehicle killed one soldier and wounded two, the military said. The attack brought to 80 the number of U.S. soldiers killed by guerrillas since President Bush declared major combat over on May 1.

121. concerned - 9/26/2003 6:31:32 PM

At end of training, Marines say Mongols ready for duty in Iraq

Would Mongols meet with the approval of Islamic Fundamentalists? Perhaps not. After all, it was the Mongol Empire that reversed the tide of Asiatic Islam expansionism from the eleventh to the thirteenth centuries, sacking Baghdad twice.

122. rdbrewer - 9/26/2003 7:07:13 PM

Marje:

There are two areas where the right-wing in this country persists in blind insanity.

Since this is more religion for you than science, I find your use of the word "blind" ironic.

One is Clinton. Everything the Dems do is because Clinton is a masterful sinister genius behind the scenes.

Did one of my running mates use the word "everything," or do you just feel that way? Many in the punditocracy, some of them from the left, have been commenting on Clintons' power in the party for quite some time. I don't recall any of them sneering the words "mastful genius" either. Re-characterizing your opponents' views like that might make your job easier (it's always easier to kick over a straw man), but it doesn't advance the debate. It just reveals your emotional stake in the issues.

Your running mates, a good number of them, still believe that the Clintons "ran" Clark because they want him to lose, so that she can run as favorite in 2008. One can only avert one's eyes in embarassment when your running mates pull their pants down in public with theories like this.

This was put forth by several people as a plausible scenario. No-one stated that it was a fact. The whole pants thing, though, give me a break. You're spitting like some hate-filled reptilian.

. . .

123. rdbrewer - 9/26/2003 7:07:44 PM

(continued)

The other blind insanity comes in assessing the very clear divide and fault line in this current administration (and to some extent the Party leadership) between the neocon scum and the old-line, "mature" Republicans.

That fault line was placed there for a reason -- so that people like you can lap-up what Powell, who works for Bush, has to say. You are so adherent to the religious dogma that Bush is stupid, you cannot concieve of the possibility that Bush could have purposely emplaced such a plan. (Of course, this would mean Bush "the moron" outsmarted you.) That throbbing, open-sore emotion is filtering your perception.

You and your running mates want to believe some
"masterful" brilliant machiavelli is scripting it all.


Again, the re-characterizing, straw-man thing. Geez. Look at how often you do that.

124. Edmund Dantes - 9/26/2003 9:31:18 PM

Engineers teach Iraqis construction, build `Village of Hope'

National Guard engineers are building the first of five "House of Hope" projects. Along the way, they're teaching former Iraqi soldiers construction skills they can use to find new jobs.

Soldiers of the 52nd Engineer Company -- an Oregon Army National Guard unit attached to the 101st Airborne Division (Air Assault) -- believe in the adage "It's better to teach a man to fish and feed him for life," or in this case teach him to build a home and house him for life.

Under the House of Hope project, the former soldiers initially planned to build a house for a family of displaced locals.

But the project quickly grew in size, blossoming into the Village of Hope, where 100 homes are scheduled to be built for 800 people, said Maj. Christopher Lestochi, operations officer, 326th Engineer Battalion, 101st Airborne Division (Air Assault).

With new skills in masonry, carpentry, electricity, plumbing and other skills used in building, the ex-soldiers will be useful in rebuilding Iraq, said division officials.

The Village of Hope will replace an abandoned Iraqi military school in the southern part of the city of Mosul that currently houses at least 200 displaced families living in gutted, half collapsed buildings.

125. robertjayb - 9/26/2003 11:43:04 PM

CIA wants probe of Bush White House...

WASHINGTON, Sept. 26 — The CIA has asked the Justice Department to investigate allegations that the White House broke federal laws by revealing the identity of one of its undercover employees in retaliation against the woman’s husband, a former ambassador who publicly criticized President Bush’s since-discredited claim that Iraq had sought weapons-grade uranium from Africa, NBC News has learned.




126. jexster - 9/27/2003 8:03:48 AM

Patriots and invaders - Iraqi resistance to foreign occupation enjoys great popular support

Sami Ramadani - political refugee from Saddam's regime and is a senior lecturer in sociology at London Metropolitan University



The governing council is not so much hated as ridiculed, and attacked for having its members chosen along sectarian lines. Most of the people I talked to think that it is a powerless body: it has no army, no police, and no national budget, but boasts nine rotating presidents. One of the jokes circulating in Baghdad was that no sooner had you brought down Saddam's picture than you were being asked to pin up nine new ones.

Support for the council is largely confined to some activists of the organisations that belong to it. Indeed, it could be argued that most supporters of the more credible organisations belonging to the council are opposed to membership of the US-appointed body. The leaders of the Supreme Council of the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (Sciri), for example, are finding it increasingly hard to convince these supporters that cooperation with the invaders is still a possible route to independence and democracy. The same goes for another smaller but equally credible party, the Islamic Da'wa, which experienced a split and serious haemorrhaging of membership following its decision to join the council.

127. alistairconnor - 9/27/2003 8:41:52 AM

Con :

The Iraqi suicide attacks on the UN that is causing the UN to pull out argues strongly that merely replacing US forces with those of other nations is no shortcut to reducing Iraqi violence

There is a problem with Iraqi perception of the UN.
The problem is that the UN was the sponsor of the embargo that materially hurt Iraqis for so many years (yeah, all Saddam's fault, doesn't change the perception) and also sponsor, at least initially, of the several years of US/UK bombing. Given the official Saddam propaganda line that the UN is simply a tool of the US, it's hardly surprising that the majority of Iraqis should see little material difference between the two. Until recently, they had no access to other sources of information.

Now, all Iraqis who are well-informed know the difference. Saddam knows the difference. That's why he's made the UN a top-priority target (almost certainly, his partisans were responsible for the UN bombings). If he can chase the UN out, as it seems, that's a major victory for him, and a major defeat for __everybody else__.

No good blaming them for getting out. The UN can not operate in a war zone.

As for whether ordinary Iraqis (the ones who appear to make up the bulk of the resistance, who organise attacks on US soldiers) will be less hostile to UN troops of other nationalities, that remains to be seen.

128. jexster - 9/27/2003 11:01:43 AM

When the Governing Council formed in July, he pledged that it would have a major role in finance, security and foreign affairs.

The council members asked him to put it in writing, which he did, saying he would "consult the Governing Council on all major decisions and questions of policy." Only in "exceptional circumstances," he said, "would the coalition act without the support of the council."

But last week, five Iraqi leaders resolved to tell Mr. Bremer that it was time to fulfill those pledges by giving them real access to Iraq's budget and finances, and to give the new ministry of interior a security role that would allow the American Army to pull back to bases. Mr. Bremer has yet to respond to them.

"Bremer wants to do everything himself I mean they call him king over there," said Mudhar Shawkat, a senior member of Mr. Chalabi's Iraqi National Congress. "He has done a lot, but he has yet to consider Iraqis as his partners and treats them as his subjects."


Underlying the clash of approaches are American and British concerns that Iraq could implode if power is transferred too quickly.
But there are other unspoken concerns.

Some senior American and British officials say privately that they are concerned that if an election was held today, a Shiite muslim cleric might well dominate the polling on the strength of the 60 percent Shiite share of the population.


Iraqi Council Demands Sovereignty - Revolt of the Peppets


129. Edmund Dantes - 9/27/2003 11:38:15 AM

Iraqi bishop says media distorts coverage to discredit U.S.-led war

An Iraqi Catholic bishop has accused Western media of lying about the postwar state of his country. Auxiliary Bishop Andraos Abouna of Baghdad said he believed media were running a propaganda campaign to discredit the American-led coalition that ousted Iraqi President Saddam Hussein and now runs Iraq. Bishop Abouna, a Chaldean Catholic, told The Catholic Herald in London that the situation in Iraq was steadily improving rather than descending into a morass resembling the Vietnam War, as often depicted by media outlets. "It's getting better but still there are many problems," Bishop Abouna said. "The first problem is that they need security, then they need water and electricity -- and all these things are getting better," the bishop said. "The media are exaggerating a lot of things. They should be realistic about the situation in Iraq. Newspapers and television are saying a lot of things that aren't true. When they go there they can see everything (is changing)," he said.

130. jexster - 9/27/2003 11:44:36 AM

The $87 Billion Supplemental Lie:


Bush Pledge of $21 Billion to Rebuild Iraq is Nearly $70 Billion
Short

According to this BBC analysis, rebuilding Iraq will cost $90 billion- and we're talking basics (getting the lights and phone restored, getting the oil industry up and running, basic healthcare and educational,
etc.) Bush wants $87 billion from taxpayers, but a whopping $66 billion will go entirely to military operations

Only $21 billion will go toward actual reconstruction. W

ouldn't it have been cheaper just not to have
bombed everything - including the utilities and communications systems, not to mention hospitals - to rubble? Look at the way we here in the U.S. rail at the power company after a major storm when we have to wait a week for the juice to come back! Is it any wonder Iraqis are enraged at us? We trashed their infrastructure (after Bush promises not to). Their rage is now costing the lives of at least a soldier a day.


Tell us more about that Potemkin Village on the Tigris Eddie.



You can't take that seriously. "Village of Hope" must have been meant as comic relief. I know that you aren't a bleeding heart liberal so you are either joking or you are one stupid sum bitch.


Village of Hope - Worse than the war agit prop

131. Edmund Dantes - 9/27/2003 11:51:29 AM

The actual headline for post 11628 is "Iraq Leaders Seek Greater Role Now in Running Nation," not Poopstain's distortion of it.

Guess what? The Iraqis are getting it.

The US Army turned over a large stretch of the border separating Iraq from Iran to an American-trained border police force today, for the first time relinquishing control of a sensitive frontier area to the provisional government.

The 210-mile length of frontier running from the edges of Kurdish-controlled territory in the north to a point just southeast of Baghdad is part of a broader effort to give Iraqis more control over their affairs and relieve the US military of the burden of guarding the border....

Col Michael Moody, the commander of the 4th Infantry’s 4th Brigade, who formally turned over control of the frontier to Iraqi Col Nazim Shareef Mohammed and his 1,178 men, said it was an “important day for the Iraqi people”....

“This is a great example of new Iraqi security forces taking control. Each day the border becomes more secure. This is good news for the Iraqi people and the Coalition,” Moody said.

Mohammed, a Kurd, will patrol and run border checkpoints from the city of Darband-i-Khan, 131 miles northeast of Baghdad, to a point near the town of Bard, about 81 miles southeast of the capital. The area encompasses nearly all of Delay province, one of three under the control of the US Army’s 4th Infantry.

“We are unique,” Mohammed said of his force, which includes ethnic Arabs, Kurds and ethnic Turks. “This is an important day for us because we officially take over this highly sensitive border.”

Standing a few yards from the Iranian border, Nazim said “if this experiment is successful in Diyalia province then it is an example for all of Iraq”.

132. jexster - 9/27/2003 11:53:17 AM

Ah Big Media Conspiracy! If all so hunky dory, what the hell is that 87 Billion for and why is Bush begging Putin's help.


Oh BTW, the EU has come through - $280 million....



The personal equivalent - giving a dollar for a Street Sheet.







I get it now....the made in USA version of Geramany's Stab in the back.


The good old days of Rummy inbedded journalism are over Eddie.



Its CNS or nothing.



133. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:00:51 PM

Yes Iran/Iraq Border Guards...I am sure that's just the ticket to quell the growing revolt of the Puppets. If the Governing Council wonders why they are being ridiculed, you should have no doubt why you are.

http://www.madison.com/captimes/opinion/column/guest/57361.php
US Soldier: 'Mentally and Spirtually We are Dying'


"I am a National Guardsman of the 105th Personnel Services Detachment out of Lincoln, Neb. My unit and I are stationed in Kuwait at Camp Wolf. We were deployed Feb. 2. We arrived in Jordan in April and half of us were moved a week later to Kuwait to throw mail... Yes, we are physically able to finish our mission, but mentally and spiritually we are
dying... This isn't a simple board game of Axis and Allies, this is a game people are playing with real people - people with families, not robots... It feels as if every decision is off the cuff. In this situation there should be plans in place and decisions made before the rubber hits
the road. We are slowly becoming frantic. I hear people saying they are going to begin hurting themselves or others if they can't go home. The helplessness our soldiers are feeling is indescribable, it is past the point of 'suck it up and drive on.' We just want somewhere to drive on
to."

134. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:00:53 PM

Yes Iran/Iraq Border Guards...I am sure that's just the ticket to quell the growing revolt of the Puppets. If the Governing Council wonders why they are being ridiculed, you should have no doubt why you are.

http://www.madison.com/captimes/opinion/column/guest/57361.php
US Soldier: 'Mentally and Spirtually We are Dying'


"I am a National Guardsman of the 105th Personnel Services Detachment out of Lincoln, Neb. My unit and I are stationed in Kuwait at Camp Wolf. We were deployed Feb. 2. We arrived in Jordan in April and half of us were moved a week later to Kuwait to throw mail... Yes, we are physically able to finish our mission, but mentally and spiritually we are
dying... This isn't a simple board game of Axis and Allies, this is a game people are playing with real people - people with families, not robots... It feels as if every decision is off the cuff. In this situation there should be plans in place and decisions made before the rubber hits
the road. We are slowly becoming frantic. I hear people saying they are going to begin hurting themselves or others if they can't go home. The helplessness our soldiers are feeling is indescribable, it is past the point of 'suck it up and drive on.' We just want somewhere to drive on
to."

135. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:03:28 PM


Bush Administration Poised to Break Promise to U. S. Reservists



Six weeks after insisting the U. S. had "sufficient force to do what is required" in Iraq, the Bush Administration admitted yesterday more American reservists likely will be sent to the frontlines.

Thursday's announcement contradicts the promise of Joint Chiefs Chairman General Richard Myers who said on August 5th, "We're trying to put predictability into the lives of our soldiers, their families and the reservists and their employers."1

The additional deployment is in part necessitated by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld's refusal to heed the advice of Pentagon careerists who want to increase the size of the active-duty force. Army chief of staff Peter Schoomaker has said, "I'm going to tell you that, you know, intuitively, I think we need more people. I mean, it's that simple."2

Rumsfeld has stubbornly claimed, "Thus far, the analysis that's been done [on troop strength] indicates that we're fine."3

But two weeks ago the Pentagon added as much as six months to the tours of duty for the National Guard troops and Reserves in Iraq.4 Longer deployments are felt by communities and families in the U.S. including some local police departments that lose "20% of their manpower when local Guard units are activated".5 Now, conceding there is no foreseeable end to U. S. involvement in Iraq, Marine Corps General Peter Pace announced that thousands more reservists will almost certainly be called up as other troops are finally sent home. The 30,000 Guardsmen and 50,000 reserves in Iraq represent the largest reserve battlefield presence since World War II.6

136. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:03:37 PM

Sources:
1. DoD News Briefing - Secretary Rumsfeld and Gen. Myers, 8/5/03,
2. "New Top General Tells Legislators U.S. Will Probably Need a Larger Army", New York Times, 7/30/03.
3. "Secretary of Stubbornness," Weekly Standard, 9/15/03.
4. "Troops' tours of duty could run for 1 year; Extensions frustrate military families," Detroit Free Press, 9/10/03.
5. "The war over the National Guard," Salon, 8/19/03.
6. "Pentagon May Call Up Additional Reservists", Los Angeles Times, 9/25/03

137. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:05:17 PM

September 22, 2003

My husband is in the army national guard and has been deployed since Feb. 13th. We have two beautiful children, a 16 month old and a four month old. He missed our son's first steps and our daughter's birth. He has seen her only through pictures, and why? Because our governing officials are a bunch of liars. My husband drives a truck over there; you know the convoys that are always getting hit with RPG's and other explosives, well, that's what he does. His unit has been hit quite a few times but thank God nobody has been killed. Although they have had some injuries in their unit from explosions.

I have absolutely no faith left in our government and especially George Bush. He should have gotten the support of the world and since everyone else was against the war, that should have given him a hint that it was wrong. Hell no, though, he wanted to charge in with guns a-blazing and be the big hero. Well George, you're not a hero, you are a COWARD, our troops are the real HEROES. If you want to be a hero, Bush, bring our soldiers home. If he wanted a war he should have finished the job in Afghanistan. They actually attacked us on our own soil and we still haven't taken care of it. I guess Bin Laden is too much for Bush to handle. I say ship George Bush and family to Iraq and send Congress with them, let them finish the job. I mean the war is over according to Bush, so what do they have to worry about. I pray to God that Bush does not get re-elected and lets hope our next President can clean up his mess. God Bless our TROOPS and God Bless their families.

Jaime Sutton (an angry soldier's wife)
Sand Springs, Oklahoma
posted 26 sept 2003

138. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:09:18 PM

Col. David Hackworth: "I Wish I had Written This"

The Modified Vertical Stroke
A Modest Proposal for the Pentagon

By WERTHER*

As the administration's Iraq "policy" careens out of control like a car stolen by joy-riding teenagers, critics are confronted with the inevitable retort: "But what would you do? Be constructive!" In truth, this rejoinder is a red herring: people who had no role in creating this mess have no moral "responsibility" for solving it; the authors of the mess have. And to the extent one accepts responsibility for rescuing the situation, one implicitly believes that one actually has a role in governing this erstwhile republic. In reality, the neo-con-artists, Big Oil plutocrats, and "defense" contractors will not release their iron grip on U.S. foreign policy until their avaricious hearts cease to beat.

139. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:10:35 PM

But in the constructive spirit of Jonathan Swift's "Modest Proposal," we herewith offer a few eminently constructive suggestions:

1. Clean house at the Pentagon. Show Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, et al., the door. Disband the Office of Special Plans (or whatever its successor might be named) and send Douglas Feith back to writing position papers for Benyamin Netanyahu. Abolish the Defense Policy Board and banish Newt Gingrich to the rubber chicken circuit and Richard Perle to the Borscht Belt. Revoke the security clearances of all these luminaries so that further damage is limited. Appoint Anthony Zinni (Gen USMC Ret.) as Secretary, and empower him to appoint, free from White House interference, subordinates of professional competence and moral probity. The same conditions would apply to his direction of the officer corps, including the chairman, JCS.1/ And at the NSC, replace the over-credentialed and underwhelming Condoleeza Rice with a certifiable adult such as Brent Scowcrowft.

2. Rescind the reconstruction contracts of Halliburton, Bechtel and the other corporate welfare clients.

3. Give GEN Sanchez an ultimatum: "Kill Saddam Hussein by 31 December 2003 or you are commanding a radar site on Adak." The death of our erstwhile client and bulwark against Iran may not be functionally necessary, but would be a political boon and usufruct to salve the wounds of our national security Illuminati and justify this whole misguided operation to the public (an important consideration as November 2004 looms). And since GEN Sanchez has so often claimed that "we" are closing in on Saddam, he should bear some responsibility for turning words into deeds. It could at least justify a withdrawal from Iraq on the basis that, "there were no WMDs, but we did whack Saddam. Mission accomplished!" And why the deadline of 31 December? -

140. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:20:33 PM

7. Begin the greatest untangling operation since Watergate. Induce Congress (an admittedly hopeless bunch, whose membership more and more resembles the idiotic Senator Iselin in The Manchurian Candidate) to investigate the connection between the think tanks, their "defense" contractor contributors, public relations firms like Hill & Knowlton or the Benador Group, foreign agents of influence, and the Federal Government. Much as the mid-1930s Nye Committee unveiled the relationships between government boards, munitions trusts, financiers, and British propagandists, such an investigation would reveal how a gullible public was led into the quicksand of the Middle East for the sake of yet another "war to end all wars."


link

141. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:20:35 PM

7. Begin the greatest untangling operation since Watergate. Induce Congress (an admittedly hopeless bunch, whose membership more and more resembles the idiotic Senator Iselin in The Manchurian Candidate) to investigate the connection between the think tanks, their "defense" contractor contributors, public relations firms like Hill & Knowlton or the Benador Group, foreign agents of influence, and the Federal Government. Much as the mid-1930s Nye Committee unveiled the relationships between government boards, munitions trusts, financiers, and British propagandists, such an investigation would reveal how a gullible public was led into the quicksand of the Middle East for the sake of yet another "war to end all wars."


link

142. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:23:58 PM

Passionate Ltr From A Grunt To Sec State Powell



Sent: Wed 9/24/2003 4:30 AM

To: secretary@state.gov

Subject: Soldier in Iraq

Honorable Mr. Powell,

A cancer has begun to spread in the military - especially those currently serving in Iraq. Sir, that cancer - as you probably already are aware of - is the dissatisfaction of service members for having been lied to by our Commander in Chief and his staff.

143. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:24:40 PM


Sir, we know now that this war was not about Weapons of Mass Destruction. Sir, we know that this war was not about terrorism. Sir, we are unsure anymore of what exactly this war was about.

No one serving with me over here will deny that the removal of Saddam Hussein and his regime of tyrants was a great thing and we are proud of what we accomplished. I will continue to serve my country with honor and I am proud of the men and women and civilians with whom I work. They are all heroes.

But the men and women of Iraq know why we are here. They are very intelligent people and are able to see right through the lies that our President used to justify this war. That is why they view us now as an occupying force and believe it is their Muslim duty to fight us. Sir, you see the trends probably better than I do as an Intelligence Analyst. The attacks are on the rise and it is not the former Ba'ath party members conducting them. The attack last week on a convoy near Al Fallujah that killed 3 soldiers was carried out by a local man fighting for his Islamic belief. He left behind a letter to his family telling them not to mourn his death, but to rejoice it in the name of Allah. The people in his neighborhood call him a martyr. Sir, my unit commander visited the Abu Ghurayb prison to see the damage done by a mortar shell which killed 2 soldiers. His convoy took a wrong turn which took them through a nearby neighborhood. The people were unfriendly and some shouted, "Die, Americans! Die!".

144. jexster - 9/27/2003 12:24:51 PM



Sir, I am wondering how you sleep at night knowing that America's sons and daughters are being wounded and killed every day by a people that we "Liberated" and for reasons that were untrue. I can see it in your eyes whenever you are before a camera. You are a good man and you were a great General. You need to speak out, sir. You need to tell us the truth. I know we are not going to be pulled out of Iraq any time soon. I can live with that and continue to do my job honorably if only we can hear the truth. That is all I ask for. And you, Mr. Secretary, will be viewed as a hero again.

Respectfully,

SSG United States Army

145. Edmund Dantes - 9/27/2003 12:45:16 PM

I missed 11585 the first time. Brave Jay Ackroyd is so obsessed with me he responds to other posters and calls them Eddie.

Another one of the dilletantes chimes in:

ac: Are you being disingenuous, or are you just not paying attention?

No, just dealing with illiterate booboo heads. Everything in the article that supports Poopstain is written by the reporter. Everything said by Chalabi is pro Bush and pro coalition.

You people can read black and think it says maroon.




146. rdbrewer - 9/27/2003 12:49:41 PM

This thread should be renamed "Jexter's Sandbox."

147. jayackroyd - 9/27/2003 12:57:54 PM

My apologies for 11585's being directed toward you, Eddy. Thanks for pointing out the mistake.

148. jayackroyd - 9/27/2003 12:58:53 PM

11646

Jexster--

He's got a point. Can you tone it down, please? And provide some of your own thoughts?

149. robertjayb - 9/27/2003 1:09:06 PM

I just noticed that Reuters is referring to attackers of "coalition" forces as guerrillas. Is this new? I thought the official word was there are no guerrillas.

150. jayackroyd - 9/27/2003 1:10:31 PM

No, the general in charge (whose name I'm spacing), in one of his first press conferences referred to the opposition as using guerilla tactics.

151. robertjayb - 9/27/2003 1:24:15 PM

Lt. Gen. Sanchez.

Yes, I have seen references to guerrilla tactics but I have not noticed the opposing forces themselves referred to as guerrillas.

A minor point, I suppose, but I understood guerrillas to be forces operating with support from the indigenous population. Don't our leaders deny that.

152. Edmund Dantes - 9/27/2003 1:46:26 PM

Saudi ambassador: U.S. winning struggle in Iraq

> "They are so happy they got rid of Saddam Hussein because nobody could have rid of Saddam ..., but they are victims of high expectations," Bandar said. "People thought the minute the Americans come, McDonald's will open a place and money will flow and cinemas and so on."

(snip)

> "I believe two things," Bandar said. "Sooner rather than later, you will see Iraq picking up itself and beginning to function in a way that will make the whole world happy and make the Americans proud (of what they did.) Second, I believe strongly that Iraq's neighbors will sleep better, trade better, cooperate better because of what happened to Saddam and his regime compared to the past.

> "You are the only game in town," Bandar said. "You are the only superpower, and there are many bad things ... that come with the territory. There is no free lunch. But trust me, the Iraqis are the biggest winners and the happiest people ... because Saddam is not there any more."

153. jexster - 9/27/2003 3:26:35 PM

I feel Jay's pain ....when that razor sharp mind of Eddie's rips through your gray matter,,,hudduer.



Coptic Prelates!

Prince Bandar!

See Jay... such an awesome mind.

Prince Bandar's House of Saud facing aerious internal sucession crisis, deeply divided against itself and against its own people, the target of Congressional Investigation, the business partner of Poppy's kisses Little Bush's ass.

Well I say show us the money but Bandar chucks two small bones, Eddie is so hard up he thinks its a meal.





Massive Demonstrations Against War in Europe and Middle East





154. jexster - 9/27/2003 3:30:56 PM

Pentagon Readies More Troops for Iraqmire as Bush Pleas for Help Fall Flat

155. jexster - 9/27/2003 3:46:35 PM

My own thoughts....

I think we're fucked.

I think that morale of the US forces in Iraq is progressively deteriorating.

I think that most folks do not like to be lied to,

I think that Zinni, Powell and Clark along with most of our military brass and intelligence community think Bush his neo-com men don't know what they are doing.

I think that Baghdad is the last stop for Bush, a dead end on his roadmap.

I think that Bush - GI Joe Terror Warrior - is an act about to close.

I think that it is now beyond reasonable debate that Bush's war was as I aaid at the time, a grave moral scandal and geopolitical blunder of immense proportion.

I think that Prince Bandar, and Putin and the EU most of the planet in fact are blowing smoke up Bush's ass and that's about as much as they will do to pull Bush's ass out of the 'mire.

I don't think that Bush and neo-con men had a clue what they were about.

I think that every objection I raised to this Bush "brain fart" (Gen Zinni) has proved correct.

I believe that Bush lied

I believe that Scott Ritter should get a metal

I think we're fucked.

I think Eddie knows it.


156. jexster - 9/27/2003 3:48:02 PM

I think I can't spell medal.


This is my brain...this is my brain on Eddie

157. jexster - 9/27/2003 3:51:39 PM

I believe that Bush will eventually do a George Aiken. Rove Ops probably are on the lookout even now for an appropriate time to declare victory and bail


And I would not be surprised if this happens in time for the 2004 election.

I wish Bush had the guts that our last lying Texas president had....But half that would be wishful

158. jexster - 9/27/2003 4:06:23 PM

I do not believe in Santa Claus.
I do not believe in the tooth fairy
I do not believe Bush is on a mission from God.

I do not believe the Emperor's latest rubbish about liberation, democracy

I don't believe it possible for a reasonably intelligent person to believe otherwise.

159. jexster - 9/27/2003 4:14:23 PM

No Robert ..the press has been using guerilla more and more often over about the past two months.

In fact, some news reports are now using "resistance fighters"

At this rate, there's a fair chance they'll be "freedom fighters" at the First Anniversary of the Empire.



160. concerned - 9/28/2003 1:15:04 AM

For those who are so sure things will immediately become perfect if only the US turns matters in Iraq over to the UN, let's look at how the UN in doing in Kosovo four years after Serbia was pushed out:



"Four years after the war, the United Nations still runs Kosovo by executive fiat, issuing postage stamps, passports and driver's licenses. Decisions made by the local elected parliament are invalid without the signature of the U.N. administrator. And still, to this day, Kosovar ministers have U.N. overseers with the power to approve or disapprove their decisions." -- Donald Rumsfeld

"Unemployment is 60 percent. Electrical power in the hinterlands is unreliable. The reconstituted local police force has not yet assumed its duties unassisted. There about 22,200 foreign troops keeping the peace in Kosovo. The U.S. total is 2,100, part of a NATO contingent of about 18,000. And ethnic hatreds still seethe. There is a broad feeling both among international workers and Kosovars themselves that, if the international community were to pull out of Kosovo now, chaos -- or even war -- could break out again in short order." -- Don Melvin

"Four years after NATO intervention, Kosovo has no 'road map' to the future. Chances of the United Nations protectorate reverting to Serb rule are nil but no pact on its destiny is seen in 2004.

Opinions among local leaders and international officials diverge on whether it will become an independent state or some hybrid short of that. But until this is clear, it will block Serbia's path to key goals, European Union and NATO membership." -- Reuters


Something for those who are having kittens about the US role in Iraq to keep in mind. The grass isn't always greener on the collectivist side.




161. Edmund Dantes - 9/28/2003 9:54:06 AM

Rebuilding Iraq


THE DEBATE OVER President Bush's request for $87 billion in emergency spending for Iraq and Afghanistan is threatening to take a dangerously irresponsible turn. Democrats and, to an extent that is rattling the Bush administration, some Republicans are drawing a distinction between the $66 billion requested for military spending and the $21 billion devoted to reconstruction, almost all of it in Iraq. The first pot of money is considered politically untouchable; indeed, the first words out of nearly every lawmaker's mouth are to pledge devotion to spending whatever is needed to support "our troops." The reconstruction spending, though, has produced considerable dissent, with a number of lawmakers questioning whether U.S. taxpayers ought to bear that burden.

Distinguishing between spending on troops and spending on reconstruction is a false and counterproductive dichotomy.


Washington Post

162. alistairconnor - 9/28/2003 1:42:36 PM

Indeed, one wonders why they would want to spend $66 billion on keeping troops in Iraq if they're not going to do anything positive there.

163. marjoribanks - 9/28/2003 1:49:18 PM

I only skim the low-simian-on-the-evolutionary-ladder's posts, admitted.

However, it is rather hilarious to smell the bottom-of-the-barrel desperation emanating from that direction.

The miserable shreds of "evidence" that is cobbled together, and then misrepresented, to laughably "demonstrate" that the neocon scum haven't been routed and that Bush is a dead duck. The frantic smear attempts at a man (Clark) who hasn't even made a serious policy speech yet (the one he delivers on the war will reframe the national discourse).

It's all very amusing and entertaining.

164. clydefo - 9/28/2003 3:29:12 PM

jexster,
Illigitimi non carborundum.

165. jexster - 9/28/2003 4:18:38 PM

Kuwait MP's Livid Over Bremmer's Call to forgive war reparations...Guess we'll just have to pay the 28 Billino Bill - sound financial footing...democracy in bloom...

SLOGAN ALERT! Do not swallow...for children under 8 and morons of any age...not for adult consumptin.

Kuwait parliamentarians are furious at a US suggestion that the oil-rich emirate drop demands for billions of dollars in war reparations owed by former foe Iraq.


US occupying administrator Paul Bremer said on Friday that out of Iraq’s total debt of $200 billion, Baghdad owed $98 billion in reparations to Kuwait and Saudi Arabia for losses during Iraq’s occupation of the emirate from 1990 to 1991.


166. jexster - 9/28/2003 4:19:38 PM

Toys alert...


167. alistairconnor - 9/28/2003 4:26:02 PM

Did Bremer really suggest that Iraq default on its debt to Kuwait?
Bremer said “it is curious to me to have a country whose (annual) per capita income GDP is about $800…pay reparations to a country whose per-capita GDP is a factor of 10 times that” for a war which all Iraqis now in power opposed.

Does he have in mind the precedent of the Bolsheviks when he says this?

If all it takes to wipe the slate is a regime change, that sets the scene for a rapid resolution of the Third World's debt crisis... by jove he's got it.

168. jexster - 9/28/2003 4:43:37 PM

Oh Clyde not to worry...

They do not get me down. They get me goin.





169. Al D - 9/28/2003 9:47:15 PM

Illigitimi non carborundum

Souldn't it be illagitima tatum non carborundum But to be honest, I haven't used the phrase in 30 years since I quit teaching.

And please, Pelle, there is no proof in thye pudding. But perhaps the proof of the pudding is in the eating. But you are in good company as Reagan made the same error. Pray to god you do not say just between you and I.


It is true that hope lives eteranl, as many on the Mote pontificate about our miserable failure in Iraq. Even some Dem congressmen who have been over there are saying, now wait a minute with all the doom and gloom. But I don't blame you for hoping and wishing for America to fail in Iraq. Your insane hate of Bush is the reason, and I don't mean to imply it is America you hate. That comment does not apply to WoW.

170. Al D - 9/28/2003 9:48:56 PM

eteranl=eternal thye= the

171. Edmund Dantes - 9/28/2003 10:29:30 PM

Bush is a dead duck.

Hee-hee-hee.

Still in the prediction business, I see.

Will Bush be out in three to six months, just like Sharon?

<smirk>

172. rdbrewer - 9/29/2003 1:07:05 AM

Al D:

Your insane hate of Bush is the reason, and I don't mean to imply it is America you hate.

I think you can make an argument the hate is pathological on some level for the ones who seem to be gleeful when we encounter problems over there.

And, BTW, some of them do hate the U.S., either overtly or deep down.

173. ScreamingSin - 9/29/2003 4:44:27 AM

When I'm driving by neighborhoods, I love seeing the odd flagpole, flying those gorgeous colors.

My yard is full of rocks. The best I can manage is the old college try on a little stake that gets trashed in the next big storm.

174. jexster - 9/29/2003 9:02:01 PM

US Forces Under Heavy Attack W. of Baghdad, Casualties Mount

How are thinks in your Village of Hope...a town named hope


Color Eddie gullible

175. jexster - 9/29/2003 9:06:42 PM

Its it ILLIGITIMITI kinda like you?

How are thing you ole bastard?

And at the risk of sedition, better lese majeste againt the reignng Village Idiot, the Bloody Bumbling Butcher of Baghdad, sometime back you asked me what might be if the Iraqis welcomed us enthusiastically?







176. jexster - 9/29/2003 9:13:47 PM

I dunno whether Bremmmer suggested that Iraq default on its debt but I think it was certainly implicit.

As you point out, Russia defaulted as in effect did Germany which is about the universe of reparations payments of similiar size to this one.

Also both countries are more or less sattelite states and will do as they are told...although Kuwait does have a little leverage, the Iraqis do not like them very much and that's not just some idea that Sadddam planted in their minds. What Bremmer said is sufficient authorization.

He doesn't have to say it again for the Iraqis to do what is in their interests anyway.


I say if Kuwait gives us any trouble, we'll run a 101 AB brigade up their dresses

177. Al D - 9/29/2003 9:18:56 PM

There are two things that might happen in the next year that would be very good for America.
1. The economy would recover( which is happening right now) and unemployment would fall by a significant %. Some say that jobs are the last thing to come in an economic recovery.

2. The pacification of Iraq is successful, an Iraqi government is formed, and the world comes to see what Bush has done is helping stabilize the Middle East.


One would think that all Americans would wish for this, but that would be naive beyond belief. The lust for power is so great that Bush enemies would rather see the exact oppisite of both of the above in order to bring him down.


Only time will tell, but I ca